prophecy.social/event/48324-will-young-washington-opening-weekend-box-office…

app.morpho.org/market/prophecy-pst

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VaultsMarketsMigration

Dashboard0x8B8b…43c7

P◈

PROPHECY / PST

Curated basket · 50%

Total Market Size ⓘ

38.4M38.4M PST

Total Liquidity ⓘ

11.2M11.2M PST

Markets pooled ⓘ

142

Trusted By ⓘ

Sentora ◆

MarketRatesRiskActivityYour Position

Market

Market Attributes

CollateralPROPHECY basket ⌕

Basket pricingcurated · per-position oracle

LoanPST ⌕

Eligible markets142 · maturity-dated

Liquidation LTV50%

Utilization ⓘ71.0%

One aggregated market, not one pool per question. Curated Prophecy outcome shares across 142 maturity-dated markets back a single PST pool — so lenders see a diversified book, not hundreds of thin pools. Each borrower posts the Yes/No shares for their own market; risk is spread across the basket.

Borrowers — across pooled markets

Borrower	Collateral (market)	Loan	Health
0x8B8b…43c7 YOU	741 Yes · Young Washington BO	160.00 PST	1.75
0x7Da…4031	18,402 Yes · World Cup final	3,180.0 PST	1.41
0x44a…9F0a	9,610 No · Fed rate cut	1,902.4 PST	1.18
0x18c…7b22	5,044 Yes · ETH above $5k	980.10 PST	1.30

BorrowSupply

Supply Collateral · Young Washington YesMax 741

741YYES

≈ 400 PST · posted into the shared PROPHECY pool

Borrow PSTAvailable 11.2M

160◈PST

Ceiling at 50% LTV = 200 PST · borrowing 160 keeps a buffer

Health factor1.75 · safe

liquidationsafe

LTV used40%

Liquidation levelYes ≤ 31%

You receive160 PST

prophecy.social/event/48324-will-young-washington-opening-weekend-box-office…

The manual loop · what the slider automates

PROPHECY

400 PST

Yes position

→

PROPHECY/PST POOL

collateral

741 Yes into shared book

→

BORROW

160 PST

at 50% LTV

→

PROPHECY

560 PST

Yes position

1.4×

A pro can run this by hand. The "Boost my position" slider does the same four steps in one click — and adds the auto-unwind before trading closes.

Leverage cuts both ways

If Yes falls below 31% the loan can be liquidated. More size means a thinner margin for being wrong.

The hard part: near-resolution pricing

Close to resolution, Yes snaps toward 0% or 100% and liquidity thins. Pricing that collateral safely is what we're still solving.

prophecy.social/event/48324-will-young-washington-opening-weekend-box-office…

One slider on Prophecy · the plumbing stays invisible

USER SEES

a slider

"Boost my position"

→

HIDDEN

lend / borrow

runs under the hood

→

USER GETS

up to 1.5×

on their Yes bet

→

AUTO

winds down

before trading closes

The trader never sees a lending market, a loan, or a health factor. They pick a side, drag a slider, and buy. That native experience is the product the prediction market sells — not a raw pool a user has to operate themselves.

What the user sees vs. what runs

User-facing: boost slider, "max win," "most you can lose," auto-protection. Hidden: the collateralized borrow, LTV, liquidation engine, and the pre-close unwind.

Still being solved

Aggregated curated liquidity across markets, curation to exclude open-ended-resolution events, and the near-resolution pricing oracle. The borrow layer is the part the prediction market never has to build.